Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.118349 0.130857 0.143690 0.157812 0.172888 0.188472 0.205772
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.101351 0.120545 0.141218 0.165009 0.191503 0.219972 0.252750
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.085127 0.108259 0.134282 0.165414 0.201331 0.241164 0.288369
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.070702 0.095863 0.125353 0.161899 0.205399 0.254967 0.315152
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063935 0.091483 0.124882 0.167460 0.219394 0.279817 0.354534
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.057744 0.086958 0.123515 0.171337 0.230957 0.301598 0.390343
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.052012 0.082313 0.121394 0.173766 0.240383 0.320625 0.422861
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046463 0.077281 0.118231 0.174405 0.247229 0.336310 0.451291
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.045784 0.078842 0.123683 0.186173 0.268220 0.369608 0.501591
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042049 0.075646 0.122403 0.188834 0.277403 0.388190 0.533867
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039140 0.073365 0.122141 0.192672 0.288015 0.408569 0.568505
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035191 0.069123 0.118790 0.192021 0.292512 0.421065 0.593241
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033931 0.069187 0.121889 0.200775 0.310282 0.451611 0.642256
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032766 0.069331 0.125129 0.209878 0.328824 0.483626 0.693856
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029585 0.065808 0.122627 0.210589 0.335815 0.500552 0.726204
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025629 0.060519 0.117046 0.206507 0.335944 0.508291 0.746636
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024419 0.059964 0.118769 0.213142 0.351077 0.536120 0.793533
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.022892 0.058662 0.119181 0.217752 0.363362 0.560231 0.835769
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021165 0.056789 0.118519 0.220635 0.373155 0.581030 0.873794
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019212 0.054248 0.116567 0.221393 0.379809 0.597556 0.906241
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.019670 0.056620 0.122984 0.235302 0.405769 0.640802 0.974783
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018303 0.055068 0.122581 0.238441 0.415979 0.662449 1.014530
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.017259 0.054083 0.123080 0.242966 0.428246 0.687028 1.058408